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Good morning. At this time MPs vote within the first spherical of the poll for the Tory management. At the least one candidate ought to positively be eradicated (the one who comes final) and it’s attainable that two or three extra may drop out to, as a result of they fail to hit the 30-vote threshold for continuing to the following spherical.
The competition might be extra open than any earlier Tory management contest at this stage (on the morning of the primary poll) since 2005, however two assessments appear moderately sound: 1) that Rishi Sunak is the frontrunner, and the MP more than likely to be on the ultimate poll; and a couple of) that Liz Truss, who might be the lead candidate for the best, and essentially the most believable continuity Johnson determine (his most loyal allies are supporting her), however that her inclusion on the ultimate poll is much less assured than Sunak’s.
At this time’s outcomes ought to give us some sense of how sound each these propostions are.
The candidate posing the largest problem to Sunak and Truss might be Penny Mordaunt, the previous defence secretary who’s now a global commerce minister. A Brexiter however with a background in Tory one nation politics (she used to work for David Willetts), a minister with cupboard expertise however one who was by no means a part of the Johnson clique and who could be regarded by voters as a contemporary begin, a survey yesterday prompt she would beat all different candidates within the ultimate poll for members.
A part of the rationale why Mordaunt does nicely in these surveys is as a result of she is comparatively unknown and has not taken sturdy positions on many coverage points, and so she has not alientated many potential supporters but. (Admittedly, this didn’t work for Rehman Chishti.) However at this time Mordaunt will launch her camaign, and have to begin saying what she stands for
In an article for the Occasions’ Purple Field, she says as prime minister she would prioritise assist for households, placing a cupboard minister in control of this portfolio. She says:
My authorities will revise the early years and childcare system. This may contain each listening to sector professionals who’re already feeding right into a stay session on childcare, and appointing a cupboard stage minister with general duty for household coverage.
Households are available all sizes and shapes, and my very own expertise as a toddler carer for my mum when she was terminally ailing has left me with a profound dedication to serving to each household to stay nicely.
I consider mother and father and carers are greatest positioned to resolve what’s proper for his or her little one. So I plan to maneuver away from a coverage of mounted entitlements to tax-free childcare, and as an alternative create a brand new system of personalised budgets that can enable each little one to entry their entitlement to subsidised childcare at a time most suited to their household wants.
Household coverage didn’t get loads of consideration throughout the Johnson years. That may have one thing to do with the truth that Johnson was by no means eager to speak about his personal, and wouldn’t even say what number of youngsters there are in his prolonged household community.
Right here is the agenda for the day.
9.30am: Mick Lynch, the RMT common secretary, offers proof to the Commons transport committee concerning the rail strikes. Tim Shoveller, chief negotiator at Community Rail and Steve Montgomery, chair of the Rail Supply Group, are additionally giving proof.
10am: Priti Patel, the house secretary, offers proof to the Commons dwelling affairs committee.
10.30am: Penny Mordaunt launches her marketing campaign for the Tory management.
12pm: Boris Johnson faces Keir Starmer at what is predicted to be Johnson’s penultimate PMQs.
1.30pm: Voting begins within the first spherical of the Tory management contest. The poll closes at 3.30pm, and the outcome will likely be introduced quickly afterwards.
2.30pm: Dominic Raab, the justice secretary and lord chancellor, offers proof to the Lords structure committee.
I attempt to monitor the feedback under the road (BTL) however it’s not possible to learn all of them. In case you have a direct query, do embody “Andrew” in it someplace and I’m extra more likely to discover it. I do attempt to reply questions, and if they’re of common curiosity, I’ll submit the query and reply above the road (ATL), though I can’t promise to do that for everybody.
If you wish to entice my consideration shortly, it’s in all probability higher to make use of Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.
Alternatively, you’ll be able to e-mail me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com
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